Statistics and Probability 7th Grade CCSS.Math.Content.7.SP.5-8.

UntitledProbability and statistics all around us in the real world; therefore, these two concepts are essential for all math students to learn. This learning progression covers: Define and understand probability, Collecting data, then observing and predicting relative frequency, Probability modeling, Using uniform probability models to find probability, Observing frequencies to find non-uniform probability, Probability of compound events, Sample spaces for compound events, Design & use a simulation to generate frequencies for compound events, and teacher references filled with worksheets and activity aligned handouts for teaching each

of the concepts stated above. The learning progression is really tailored to students who learn better by working with their peers and enjoy hands-on activates. Attached along with this learning progression is a lesson plan that can be used to teach students the definition and basis of the term probability. This lesson includes a great game called Rock, Paper, Scissors, Chance Game where students work in pairs to solve if the game is rock, paper, scissors is truly fair? Haven’t you ever wondered? If you have, this lesson plan will show you how to use this activity to better address to students the definition of an event being equally likely and the essence of something being fair. This learning progression addresses the following common core cluster standards: CCSS.MATH CONTENT.7.SP.5-8.

Math 499E Learning Progression3

Learning Progression Lesson Plan1

G-MG.1-G-MG.3: Record Breaking Hot Coffee!

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Did you know that over 50% of Americans over 18 years of age drink coffee every day?! And that among these 150 million coffee drinkers, the average coffee consumption in the United States in 2010 was 3.2 cups of coffee per day! (Data gathered from the 2010 National Coffee Association Drinking Trends Study.) Since coffee consumption is such a huge consumer market in the United States and using an interactive video to represent a real-world scenario, the Hot Coffee math problem by Dan Meyer is a great math problem to do with your students!

The Hot Coffee math problem follows the Gourmet Gift Basket team as they try to Guinness World Record for the biggest cup of coffee! This compelling math problem can be found on Dan Meyer’s 3-Act Math task website using the following link: http://mrmeyer.com/threeacts/hotcoffee/. This problem is also a great way to address several high school geometry Common Core State Standards!

The High School Geometry: Geometric Measurement and Dimension: Common Core State Standards that are addressed in this problem are:

G-MG.1: Use geometric shapes, their measures, and their properties to describe objects (e.g., modeling a tree trunk or a human torso as a cylinder).*

G-MG.2: Apply concepts of density based on area and volume in modeling situations (e.g., persons per square mile, BTUs per cubic foot).* Use volume formulas for cylinders, pyramids, cones, and spheres to solve problems.*

G-MG.3: Use ratio and rate reasoning to solve real-world and mathematical problems, e.g., by reasoning about tables of equivalent ratios, tape diagrams, double number line diagrams, or equations.

Act One

In the first act students will watch a one-minute short video of the Gourmet Gift Basket team building, transporting, setting up, and beginning to fill up their coffee cup! Then, students will be given the questions shown below:

  1. The Gourmet Gift Baskets team wants to break the record for the biggest coffee cup. Will that cup be enough to break it? How many gallons of coffee do you think will fit inside?
  2. Guess as close as you can. Write your guess down.
  3. Write down a guess you know is too high.
  4. Write down a guess you know is too low.
  5. How long do you think it’ll take them to fill up the cup?
  6. How many regular-size cups of coffee would fit inside that super-size cup of coffee?

After making their individual guesses for questions 2 through 4, by the end of the problem students should be able to answer questions 1, 5, and 6.

During this lesson, it is up to your digression whether you would like your students to work individually, in pairs, or in teams. My recommendation, however, and how I would group up my students would be in pairs or groups of three. So, students can challenge and work together to answer the problem’s questions.

Act Two

In the second act, students will ask themselves and answer the question: What information will help solve this problem?

First, I would have my students brainstorm in their small groups the type of information they think they need to complete the problem. While students are coming up with ideas, I will be going around and listening in to conversations and helping students who need assistance. After it seems that all students have finished their list, I will hold a whole class discussion. Where I will ensure that students understand the facts of the problem (shown below) and understand what procedures need to be taken in order to solve the Hot Coffee’s questions.

Information students need to solve this problem: 

The dimensions of the cup: 7 feet by 7 feet

The rate the cup is filling up:2.1 gallons/minute

The conversion from cubic feet to gallon: 1 cubic foot = 7.48052 gallons

The conversion from gallons to cups: 1 gallon = 16 cups

Information on the old record: Which can be reviewed as a class during whole class discussion and handed out in paper form to each student or small group as a resource

Information on the Guinness World Record guidelines: Which can also be reviewed as a class during the whole class discussion or handed out in paper form to each student or small group to serve as a resource

Act Three

In act three students solve for the size of cup needed to break the old largest cup of coffee record, solve for the amount of coffee gallons that would fit in the cup, how long it would take the Gourmet Gift Basket team to fill up the cup, and how many regular-size cups of coffee fit inside of that super-size cup of coffee.

Students will meet the first standard when they are able to solve for the size of cup needed to break the Guinness World Record for the largest cup of coffee. Students will show evidence of meeting the second standard when they solve for the volume and area of the coffee cup to figure out how many gallons it will take to fill the inside of the cup. Students will meet standard three by using ratios to solve how many regular-size cups fit in their recording breaking coffee cup.

This is a great lesson because this 3-Act Math problem is exciting to solve! It really helps students stay engaged and motivated to solving the several answers pertaining to the cup of coffee, but probably the most interesting and conclusive question being: Did Gourmet Gift Baskets actually beat the old Guinness World Record for the largest cup of cup?! On the Dan Meyer’s webpage there are also great sequel ideas that align to other Math Common Core State Standards that you can do!

F.IF – Heart in Motion!

Screen Shot 2014-12-03 at 5.59.02 PMThis in an interactive activity in where students read graphs their peer’s heart rate during baseline line data for regular beats per minute (BPM), for a one minute session of jogging in place, and heart rate until it returns to its normal resting place. It is important for students to know how to read graphs because in various career opportunities reading graphs is a necessity. For example, a doctor read graphs on his or her students medical charts, a mechanic reads a graph from data gathered from scar diagnostics tool, a self-employed business man creating a profits graph during summer months, and so many more. Students’ heart rate will be measured using a Hand-Grip Heart Rate Monitor recorded in a graph on a TI-83 or TI-84. This activity aligns to CCSS.MATH.CONTENT.HSF.IF.B.4 in which students will copy each individual student’s heart rate vs. time graph on the worksheet, and then use the graph to explain the relationship between the two quantities by explaining the intercept, places where the graph in increasing or decreasing, the relative maximum, end behavior, periodicity, and (if applicable) symmetries.

After the first student’s at rest BMP is noted, student will run in pace fast, and then let a minute to a minute and a half to recover. (Note: For all the above steps student must be holding on to the heart monitor at all times and in the correct way—the hand monitor arrow is facing up and toward the sensor, which is also facing up).

Example graph is shown below:

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Materials needed for the activity:

  • Hand-Grip Heart Monitor
  • TI-83 or TI-84 graphing calculator with EasyData Program
  • Projector
  • Heart in Motion!

 

This activity was made for only needing one heart monitor and one Ti-83 or TI-84 graphing calculator. The students take turns going up and checking their heart rate at rest, then when running fast in place, and again at rest. The Heart in Motion! Worksheet can be printed “x” number of times; where x = the total number of students in your classroom.

Hand-Grip Heart Monitor Information can be found at: http://www.vernier.com/products/sensors/hgh-bta/

Heart-Grip Heart Monitor Cost: approximately $119 found at http://www.vernier.com/products/sensors/hgh-bta/

F.BF-Building a Function that Models a Relationship Between Two Quantities

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Use this assessment question which aligns with CCSS: HSF-BF.A.1: Build a function that models a relationship between two quantities. Which teaches students about how to build  a function which shows a relationship between two students who are saving up to go Comic Con!

This question asks students to read a problem, find the functions that the problem describes, and then to answer questions relating to their functions in order to make connections between the qualities. Such as being able to graph the functions and find which graph is increasing faster, find the point of intersection, and interpret how changes to the functions can affect the function slopes and point of intersection.

Math 325 IM Assessment

F.BF-Using a Picture to Build a Function Model

Hot Air Balloons

This picture was found at http://travelsinphotography.com/blog/2012/09/09/crown-of-maine-hot-air-balloon-festival/.

A possible math problem students could be asked relating to this picture is build a model that best fits the relationship between the hot air balloons.

This picture aligns with the following CCSS:

CCSS.MATH.CONTENT.HSF.BF.A.1

Write a function that describes a relationship between two quantities.*

To solve this problem, students will be given a scale in which dictates the scale from centimeters to meters and then use centimeters to meters to explain the real life formula that would best describe the relationship of the hot air balloons. Then, students will use this scale to draw on their picture a quadrant. Once the quadrant has been drawn, to scale, where one centimeter is equal to a one by one square on the graph, students can then use their knowledge of plotting points to find the x and y coordinates of each of the hot air balloons. At this point, the teacher should also make sure the picture should be in the first quadrant, because both x and y are positive. After the points for each of the hot air balloons has been found, students can their use their knowledge of function models to find the model which best fits the data. Students can use the picture as a resource to draw the “best fit model” and then use their graphing calculator to accurately find the model that best fits describes the relationship the hot air balloons have to one another.

Having students create their own coordinate graph, students are using their prior knowledge of graphing points and finding models that best fit the data in a real life situation. Having a connection to how these applications can be used in real life allow students to take a real life situation, create a ratio problem to decrease the real life numbers to a model, find the function that best fits the data, and then be able to explain what that function model means in regard to the data. Allowing students to see functions in real life and be able to understand how functions explain relationships between quantities.

S.ID-Teaching Linear Regression Using Graphing Calculators!

                            TV 

TV Watching vs. Physical Activity 

 

 

Running

 

Do people who watch a lot of TV not do much physical activity?

Check out this relationship in your classroom!

Brief Lesson Explanation:

In this lesson students will learn to how to create linear models for bi-variant data using a graphing calculator. The students have been learning about linear equations, what consists of linear equations, such as slope and y-intercept, as well as learning about bivariate data, correlation, correlation coefficient, and what it means to find the regression model, specifically just linear regression or “line of best fit.” Students are able to find the line of best fit given data by hand. Following this lesson student will have the opportunity to use classroom gathered data and learn how to find correlation and regression models using a graphing calculator. Students have worked with finding linear regression models with bivariate data, but have not had the opportunity to work with technology to enhance their learning.

The graphing calculator will help with the “difficulty” of finding the correlation coefficient and will help students check if they have indeed found the correct line of regression. The graphing calculator also helps students to see a visual representation of the data. Since it takes less time to find the correlation and linear regression with a calculator, students are able to take more time into explain their knowledge of the correlation coefficient, and how their correlation support the regression model they chose. Students are also able to begin understanding of what the slope and y-intercept of their data truly means and its significance to the data. Students will also begin to make connections about how the regression model can be used to make further predictions on their data.

Integrating Technology in the Mathematic Curriculum:

This lesson helps students meet the modeling Common Core Standard S.ID.7: Interpret the slope (rate of change) and the intercept (constant term) of a linear model in the context of the data. * (Modeling Standard), because this lesson helps students to use data from their own classroom (raw data) to find the best regression model, and then use their prior knowledge of slope and y-intercept to explain how these two concepts shape the data, their significance to the data, and then make predictions using the regression model. Using the graphing calculator to find the accurate regression model that best fits the data, by using the correlation coefficient to justify their answer, students are deepening their understanding on how the regression model is used to find a relationship between the data and is also used to make further predictions pertaining to the data. Students are also understanding that slope is really the “rate of change” between two points and that the y-intercept is the “starting point” or “basis” of the function.

Participation in Community of Mathematics Educators:

Yes, it is important for students to know how to find regression models by hand, but by being able to use a graphing calculator, students are presenting the knowledge of using technology to advance their learning. By learning this concept, students can show that they can collect data, find the regression model that best fits the data and fully support regression model fit. This lesson is a great way to help students strengthen their knowledge of the importance of regression models and how regression models help to explain the relationship between data by correlation (if applicable) and also helps to make further predictions pertaining to the data. This lesson also allows students to use technology, a graphing calculator, to help them to input a lot of data more quickly and make an accurate scatter plot. Then, students can make several generalizations using the data. For example, with a graphing calculator students have the opportunity to check various regression models one right after the other, and use their knowledge about the correlation coefficient, r^2, to explain which regression model is actually correct. By working with data the students have also gathered on their own, and after finding the correct regression model, students are able to take their classroom data to explain how the parts of the regression model (in this lesson’s case linear regression) and explain the real-world meaning of slope and y-intercept.

Ability to Contribute to Program and School Improvement:

This lesson allow the teacher to teach in various ways: through direct instruction, video enhancement, worksheet activity, peer interaction, individual student work, and a class discussion. By allowing various teaching methods, this lesson is a great way to help enhance students’ learning about regression models (in this case, linear regression).

Planning for Mathematical Instruction:

This lesson meets the above shown Common Core Standard because the worksheet directly aligns with standard statement. This lesson builds upon students’ prior knowledge of linear equations, correlation coefficients, scatter plots, and regression models. The learning targets guides students into learning about the “real-world” interpretation of their data and how their regression model can explain the rate that the data is either increasing or decreasing (if applicable) and its starting point (y-intercept) and its value to the data. After inserting their data into the graphing calculator, graphing their scatter point, and checking various regression models against their data, students are making clear and consistent connections on what is truly the “best fit model” for their classroom based data. Proving that students truly understand the importance of the correlation coefficient, , and its value into determining which regression model truly explains the data.

Planning to Support Varied Student Learning Needs:

This lesson support varied student learning needs by offering the student various to learn the concept.  First, the lesson provides the teacher a teacher’s resource packet that includes: definitions and explanations for correlation coefficient and regression line, has steps for how to solve for the correlation coefficient and linear regression by hand, has three videos the teacher can use to teach the students how to use their graphing calculator to insert data, create a scatter plot, find the regression model, and graph the regression model along with the regression model. The lesson allows includes a step-by-step visual representation of how to use the graphing calculator for students in the student packet that students can use to follow along when teacher (or video) is instructing students how to use graphing calculator or it also serves as a resource for the students to use after teacher gives direct instruction. The graphing calculator allows students to visually see their data, to compare various types of regression models, and use their knowledge of the correlation coefficient,  to explain which regression model is the “best fit.” Completing this activity by hand would be more time consuming and students would need to know how to calculate various types of regression models also by hand, not only linear regression. Also, during this lesson students also have the opportunity to work individually, in pairs, on their worksheet, and as a class, so students have various ways that the information they are learned can be expressed. Their knowledge will be assessed through peer interaction when written scatter plots are created, informally when their graphing scatter plots are created and they verify their scatter plot with the teacher’s scatter plot shown on the overhead or with peers, and again informally with a partner when the “correct” regression model is chosen and justified on their worksheet. Then, student will be assessed formally through the grading of the worksheet and through the class discussion at the end of the lesson.

Using Knowledge of Students to Inform Teaching and Learning:

By knowing your students, a teacher can prepare for common mistakes and misconceptions that may occur during the lesson. This activity will be beneficial to students because it offers them the opportunity to take data, from their own classroom, and find the regression model which best fits. Students can then in the next lesson, pick two bivariate relations which interests them and find their own regression model, explain the regression model type, how they know their regression model is correct, what the regression model states about the relationship between the data (if applicable), and what future remarks could be made pertaining to this data. By being able to this very important mathematical concept, students can then find relationships between any relatable data which can be used in their future careers.

Planning Assessment to Monitor and Support Student Learning:

The teacher maintains rapport and respect with the students by making sure that students are being able to follow along with the lesson and answering questions referring to the regression model worksheet or technology questions. The teacher also retains rapport with the students by creating a learning environment which allows the students to learn in various ways: through teacher (or video) direct instruction on using the graphing calculator, and student support on the use of technology on the student worksheet: “References” for using the graphing calculator. By having the ability to work both individually and in pairs, students are expressing their varied perspective and ideas on the meaning of the slope, y-intercept, justifying their regression model, and making further predictions. This lesson promotes mutual respect among students because it offers students the opportunity to correct and interact with each other using mathematical support to build and enhance their knowledge. Therefore, this lesson is allows for varied assessment which monitors students’ learning through teacher walking around and assisting thought the lesson, students interacting with their peers, and by completing the attached worksheet.

Math-325-Modeling-Activity-Lesson-Plan

Math 325 Modeling Activity-Student Packet

Math 325 Modeling Activity Teacher Guided Class Discussion Questions

Math 325 Modeling Activity Grading Rubric

Math-325-Modeling-Activity-Teacher-Reference-Packet